…with four home games and two winnable road games remaining? Looking back I think MSU has the record it earned, but it’s making amends for its porous defense in games 2 through 4.
Where we've been so far first, and then forward toward the second half of the season:
Montana State – the mismatch we would have expected,
Central Michigan – I was there for that game and on September 12 CMU was the better team. Lot’s of problems: We didn’t have a response on defense, setting up a loss where a one-in-100 perfect onside kick, a leaky Spartan secondary, and stupid MSU penalties all landed their way. How on Earth does CMU get more discipline out of their sometimes academically-challenged recruits than MSU gets of some really smart kids? I don’t get it.
Notre Dame - I think MSU is now the better team. But, on September 19 it was more of a toss-up and our D wasn’t up to Claussen yet. (Of course, ND is still a bit overrated, but that statement may be redundant somehow.)
Wisconsin – after the Badgers’ performance at OSU, despite the quirky loss on a few big plays, I think MSU would probably lose to Wiscy this year seven out of ten times.
Michigan – I absolutely think MSU is the better team. Iowa tried to give Michigan the game, but they tried much harder to give it back. UM is unimpressive, despite a questionable win over “powerhouse” Indiana and a couple of late Forcier miracles. The young QB is the key to their early success. Without him saving them game after game, I doubt the remaining season goes as well as their first four games, especially in view of how teams have now learned to batter him flat at 185 pounds.
Illinois – not very telling, except for a very nice fast start for MSU in the first half. But, then where did the Spartan finesse and intensity go? Meanwhile, Illinois is a mess. I actually wish Ron Zook could turn it around. Still, more stupid Spartan penalties; simply not acceptable.
Northwestern – has proved nothing. They weren’t too bad at home against Minnesota, but they’ve had a really hard time with a weak schedule. I think this time MSU, in contrast with the past couple of E.L. game versus the Wildcats, will not show up flat and ill-prepared. Erratic preparation under John L was a feast for them, but that’s gone.
Iowa – anybody’s game. It comes down to which Spartans and which Hawkeyes show up. If it’s the Spartans who swarmed over Michigan and Illinois is the first halves of those games, this could become a very interesting season. If it’s the D and the penalties of the CMU game, I'm going to contemplate tossing them off a local bridge.
Minnesota – I see another down-to-the-wire shootout. IF we can control penalties we’re definitely in the game. If not, ouch!
Western Michigan – not what they were expected to be. I think we will continue to grow the gap between this year’s Spartans and the non-CMU branch of the MAC.
Purdue – the trend is good looking toward the game in West Lafayette. Purdue turnovers will likely override even a Spartan penchant for dorky, unwarranted penalties.
Penn State – beatable, no question, they are beatable.
How do we end up? With a couple of last-minute miracles against the right teams we’re 9-3. If penalties continue to nullify our passing game, we’re 7-5. But, I guess I’ll bet on 8-4 and maybe tying for third place with Iowa in the Big Ten, which assumes they lose at Wisconsin this weekend. Bowl-wise, maybe it’s the Alamo or even the Insight, since we’re not the best candidate for Orlando/Champs after visiting two years in a row, and OSU, Wisconsin and Iowa may soak up the Rose, Capital One and Outback. I’m ok with the Insight – a lot of fun and a short flight to Phoenix if I can work it in.
OK, fellow prognosticators, how do you see this panning out?
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