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April 30, 2009

Hoops predictions revisited

Remember when I asked for various MSU/Big Ten basketball predictions before the season? Here they are again:

SPORTS GEEK

win total: 29

big ten: 16-2 tied for first

ncaa tourney: elite eight

leading scorer: raymar morgan

 

2009 all-big ten:

F-Hummell

C-Suton

F-Morgan

G-Lucas

G-Hughes

 

big ten in the ncaa:

MSU

Purdue

Wisconsin

Ohio

State

 

MCSPAR10

MSU's win total this season:

34

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish:

16-2, first

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate:

National Runner-up

 

MSU's leading scorer:

Raymar

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team:

F-Hummell

C-Mullens

F-Morgan

G-Lucas

G-Hughes

 

Which Big Ten teams will make the NCAA Tournament

 

MSU

Purdue

Wisconsin

OSU

Minnesota

 

BRETT

MSU's Total wins: 32

 

Big Ten Record: 16-2

 

NCAA Tourney: Final Four... Loss National Semifinal

 

MSU's Leading Scorer: Raymar Morgan

 

All Big Ten Team: Lucas

                  Harris

                  Morgan

                  Hummel

                  Landry

Big Ten Tourney Teams:

Michigan St

                       Purdue

                      

Wisconsin

                      

Ohio St

 

KARATECHOP6

MSU's win total this season - 33 wins

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish - 15-3,

1st Place

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate - Final Four

 

MSU's leading scorer - Raymar Morgan

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team -

F - Robbie Hummel

F - Ramar Morgan

G - E'Twaun

Moore

G - Manny Harris

G - Kalin Lucas

 

NCAA Tournament teams -

Michigan St

.

Purdue

Wisconsin

Minnesota

 

BKNAPP

MSU's win total this season - 34 wins

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish - 17-1,

1st Place

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate - NCAA Champion

 

MSU's leading scorer - Raymar Morgan

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team -

F - Robbie Hummel

F - Ramar Morgan

F - Marcus Landry

G - E'Twaun

Moore

G - Kalin Lucas

 

NCAA Tournament teams -

Illinois

Michigan St

.

Minnesota

Ohio

State

Purdue

Wisconsin

 

SCOTT SKILES

MSU's win total this season:

 

24 total 

 

8-4 non-conference

14-4 Big 10 season

1-1 Big 10 tournament

1-1 NCAA Tournament

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish

 

14-4 Big 10 regular season, 3rd place (losses to Wisc and Purdue, plus 2 other away losses)

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate

 

2nd round exit

 

MSU's leading scorer

 

Lucas

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team

 

Lucas

Landry

Hummel

Coble

Moore

 

 

Which Big Ten teams will make the NCAA Tournament

 

Purdue

Wisconsin

Michigan

State

Minnesota

Ohio

State

 

VEGAS MIKE

Predictions:Total Wins:  32

Big 10:  16-2 Big 10 Reg 1st/Big 10 Tourney Champs

Final 4

Leading Scorer:  Morgan

All Big 10:  Hummel, Mullins, Morgan, Landry and Harris

Teams in the dance:  MSU, Purdue, OSU and

Wisconsin

.  GO STATE!!!

 

MSUSOPH07

MSU's win total this season - 33 wins

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish - 15-3, tied

1st Place

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate - Lose in elite eight

 

MSU's leading scorer - Kalin Lucas

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team -

F - Manny Harris

F - Ramar Morgan

F - Marcus Landry

G - E'Twaun

Moore

G - Kalin Lucas

 

NCAA Tournament teams -

Michigan

...sorry.

Michigan St

.

Minnesota

Ohio

State

Purdue

Wisconsin

 

DANNY

MSU's win total this season - 30 wins

 

MSU's Big Ten record and finish - 14-4, tied

1st Place

 

MSU's NCAA Tournament fate - Lose in final four

 

MSU's leading scorer - Raymar Morgan

 

The 2009 All-Big Ten team -

F - Kevin Coble

F - Raymar Morgan

F - Robbie Hummel

G - Jamelle Cornley

G - Kalin Lucas

 

NCAA Tournament teams -

Michigan St

.

Minnesota

Ohio

State

Purdue

Penn ST.

Wisconsin

 

XWING

win total: 30

 

big ten record: 16-2 first place

 

ncaa tournament fate: elite 8

 

msu's leading scorer: morgan

 

all big ten team:

 

landry

b.j. mullins

morgan

harris

lucas

 

big ten tournament teams:

 

osu

msu

purdue

Wisconson

Michigan

 

JEFFREY

LUBECK

Final Record: 32-6

Big Ten Regular Season: 15-3, Tied for 1st

Big Ten Tourney: Champion

NCAA Tourney Fate: Final Four – National Semi-Final

MSU’s Leading Scorer: Kalin Lucas

2009 All-Big Ten 1st team

  Robbie Hummel

  Ramar Morgan

  Marcus Landry

  Manny Harris

  Kalin Lucas

Big Ten NCAA Tournament Teams

 

Michigan

State

 

Ohio

State

  Purdue

 

Wisconsin

 Basically, everyone was pretty close (except Skiles). That definitely doesn't happen every year. As an added bonus, here's the top 25 I threw out in mid-June after all underclassmen decisions were made. Some good picks (UNC, MSU) and some bad (UCLA No. 2? Georgetown. ND was lower than in any other poll, but still way too high).

2008-09 top 25

 

1.

North Carolina

: With Ty Lawson, Danny Green and Wayne Ellington coming back (Lawson is the shocker), along with Player of the Century Tyler Hansbrough, this isn’t even close. It’s the most obvious and emphatic No. 1 that I can recall since UNLV set out to repeat in 1990-91. These guys have everything, including the experience of getting to and losing in the Final Four. They could go undefeated. If they don’t, a trip to Cameron Indoor or one of three potential games at Ford Field could be the stumble.

2. UCLA: Kevin Love, Russell Westbrook and -- for some odd reason – Luc Richard Mbah a Moute are gone early, but Darren Collison and Josh Shipp decided to return. This team still has forward Alfred Aboya and perhaps the best freshman class in

America

– led by super guard Jrue Holiday and big men J’Mison Morgan and Drew Gordon. Factor in Ben Howland and the Bruins seem like the best bet for No. 2. But it’s a long, steep drop from UNC to here.

3.

Louisville

: The first of a boatload of top-notch Big East teams, I put the Cardinals here despite the considerable loss of David Padgett. Derrick Caracter is leaving too, deciding to transfer, but that may be not be such a bad thing. Earl Clark decided to return, and he’s on a loaded roster that still includes Terrence Williams and Edgar Sosa. Freshman big man Samardo Samuels is supposed to be an immediate star, so Pitino’s crew looks tough.

4.

Michigan

State

: Sorry, I can’t put this team any lower when considering the rest of the field and at the Spartans’ on-paper potential. For the record (this will be milked for all it’s worth and then some), I predicted last season’s team to go 27-10 and get to the Sweet Sixteen. I think this one can be much better than that, despite the departing Drews. Finishing the season in

Detroit

is absolutely realistic for Tom Izzo’s team. However, this does not mean I’m picking MSU to win the Big Ten. I’ve learned my lesson on that more than once.

5.

Pittsburgh

: Might the Panthers get a rematch with the Spartans, deeper into March? With Sam Young and DeJuan Blair in the frontcourt, and Levance Fields driving the ship, this team looks like a contender. The loss of Ronald Ramon will be felt, though.

6.

Connecticut

: Hasheem Thabeet is back, much to my surprise, so the Huskies will have their best team in a few years. A.J. Price and Jerome Dyson make up strong backcourt, and ninth-year senior Jeff Adrien is the glue guy. Big-time freshmen on the way, too.

7.

Marquette

: Yes, that’s three Big East teams in a row – and four in the top seven. This league is sick. You have to like this team’s chances with the backcourt trio of James-McNeal-Matthews back for another run. The unknown is just how much the loss of Tom Crean will hurt in the short term.

8. Gonzaga: Jeremy Pargo returning makes this team the best from

Spokane

in some time, probably since he was a freshman and Adam Morrison scored 84 points a game. Matt Bouldin should be ready to become “the next Morrison” this season.

9.

Texas

: I still think this team is very good. Yes, D.J. Augustin is gone as expected, but gunner A.J. Abrams is coming back. I don’t know how he could have even thought about leaving. Damion James is a beast and Gary Johnson is ready to blow up. The class of the Big 12 this season.

10. Duke: I suppose you have to put the Blue Devils in the top 10, with more major recruits on the way and

Henderson

, Scheyer, Paulus, Singler back. But I still don’t love them.

11.

Arizona

: Chase Budinger returning is worth about 15 spots to this team. He’s that good. Brandon Jennings is coming in to help them forget about Jaryd Bayless. It’s UCLA-Zona at the top of the Pac-10, as it should be.

12.

Georgetown

: I still think the Hoyas can be very, very good. I don’t think they’ll miss Roy Hibbert as much as people think. Jeff Green was a bigger void last season than Hibbert will be this year. Dajuan Summers just keeps getting better, there’s tons of perimeter talent, and freshman big man Greg Monroe will be a more dynamic force on the block than Hibbert. That’s five of 12 for the Big East.

13. Purdue: This might seem low, but I think Scott Martin is a big loss, a guy who could have been a star. Robbie Hummel and E’Twaun Moore are studs, and I think JaJuan Johnson could take a giant step if he puts on weight. Chris Kramer is as tough as it gets. But the Boilers will find life a lot different with expectations surrounding them from day one.

14.

Memphis

: It’s pretty impressive to lose two players like Derrick Rose and CDR and still land here. But Robert Dozier and

Co.

are talented, and Tyreke Evans is the next elite recruit for John Calipari.

15. Notre Dame: Here’s No. 6 for the Big East. Some people think the Irish can win the Big East. I think those people are high. Saw them up close in

Denver

and I’m still waiting for them to play some defense. But Luke Harangody is a freak and he has a lot of help.

16.

Tennessee

: Heavy losses, a painful one with Ramar Smith booted off the team. Chris Lofton and Jajuan Smith were seniors. But Bruce Pearl still has lots of talent – frosh Emmanuel Negedu should help right away -- and a style of play that will allow the Vols to keep winning big. Tyler Smith is the man now.

17.

Miami

: Ever heard of Jack McClinton? You should have, especially after the ‘Canes nearly toppled

Texas

in the tourney. He’s back, as is just about everyone from an explosive team – the third best in what appears to be a watered-down ACC.
18.

Kansas

: The defending national champs lost just about everyone. Rush, Chalmers, Arthur, Kaun, Jackson, Robinson. Ouch. But you know what? Sherron Collins will be a star. (Collins. vs. Kalin Lucas at Breslin on Jan. 10 should be quite a show). Cole Aldrich can be a star. The recruiting class is loaded to the max. The Jayhawks will be dangerous and the second-best team in the Big 12.

19.

Syracuse

: Donte Green is gone, but Johnny Flynn and Paul Harris are back, while

Bay City

’s own Eric Devendorf is back from a knee injury. The Orangemen return to relevance. The Big East, once again, is just ridiculous. That’s seven of the top 19.

20.

Arizona

State

. Meanwhile, how down is the Pac-10, everyone’s darling a year ago? This looks like the third-best team with James Harden, a star no one knows, and one of the underrated coaches in the game in Herb Sendek.

21. Davidson. Really, I wanted to put this team higher, on Stephen Curry alone. But the other stud guard, Jason Richards, is gone, so no top 15 for these guys.

22.

Wisconsin

: No way I’m leaving Bo Ryan out of the top 25. I actually think the Badgers can be better than this, because Landry and Krabbenhoft are outstanding, and Trevon Hughes is the real thing. Butch and Flowers are big losses, but this team has depth and some youngsters ready to emerge.

23.

West Virginia

: Joe Alexander’s early departure drops this team from sure spot in the top 10. But the Mountaineers still have good talent and good old Huggy Bear. They may be No. 8 in the Big East, but that’s easily good enough for an NCAA bid this year.

24.

Florida

: Nick Calathes and more talented freshmen will help the Gators move back to respectability. Billy Donovan brings in five recruits, with three bigs including Eloy Vargas. This is just the second SEC team in the poll.

25.

Ohio

State

: And Florida’s 2007 title-game combatant gets the final spot. For the third straight year,

Ohio

State

will welcome a one-and-done, lottery-bound big man. Some think B.J. Mullens could be the No. 1 pick. If he’s that good, this team could surprise. Evan Turner will take a big step. Jamar Butler’s loss is huge, but look for Mott CC point guard Jeremie Simmons to make a difference.

Flint

’s Noopy Crater is coming, too, although he has work to do on his game. Wing William Buford will have the most freshman impact other than Mullens.

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Joe Rexrode
MSU Sports Reporter
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