Strange times for both the democrats and republicans--with the stock market melt down, Iraq has disappeared from the front pages. Despite the fact that terrorism threat, nor the danger faced by
Americans in Iraq, hasn’t changed a whit because of the economic chaos,
if you read the papers on a routine basis, the Iraq war doesn’t matter
anymore and the only thing that counts is the "economy stupid". What
impact does this have on the election?
For a number of years the democrats have been making the case that the Iraq war is the single most important issue facing the country; which in itself is somewhat strange and suspect after decades of ignoring national defense and beating the drums for equal rights, privacy, higher taxes, bigger government, etc.
Then the poor republicans. They have made a history of being portrayed as strong on defense and protecting the public, but now their theoretical strength as the protectors of big business has evaporated.
On the democratic front, it appears to greatly improve the position of Obama, as Clinton’s main thrust has been that she is experienced and tested and ready to step in as Commander-in-Chief immediately, while Obama is a foreign policy neophyte. Purely as a digression, if the thought of Clinton as Commander-in-Chief doesn’t send chills down your spine, you have not been following politics for the last 15 years or so.
On the republican side, McCain and Guliani have also been touting their defense and experience as the characteristics most needed now. With neither of them having ever served a day in the private sector, it seems Romney has been given a clear advantage based on external events, not the brilliance of his campaign. Clearly, if the American public is awake and believe the economy is the issue, Romney is the only real choice, but likely the election will turn on other matters.
Does the economic “crisis” help the democrats or republicans more? I think the public says a pox on both of them and will look to a new face to try to sort this out. That means McCain and Clinton will leave the scene shortly, none too early for my taste. I believe Romney and Obaba will fight it out for the Presidency, although Guliani still has a chance if Florida swings in his direction.
The only thing for sure is that no one knows. With no strong feelings for any candidate (many strong feelings against some of them), activity by people like Ahmadinejad and bin Laden or corporations like General Motors and Exxon will likely have far more impact on the election than anything the candidates say or do.
It is a sad commentary on the fickleness and attention span of the American public.
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